Punjab finally began voting today. This time it’s a three-cornered contest with the Congress vying with new-entrant Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) to dethrone the ruling SAD-BJP combine.
Scion of the erstwhile royal family of Patiala and former chief minister, Amarinder Singh, is leading the Congress to wrest power from the SAD-BJP alliance. It’s a huge political gamble for both Singh and the party with the former already having declared this to be his last stint in politics.
Congress vice-president Rahul Gandhi, who announced Singh as the CM face of the party, did so just a week before the campaigning came to an end. While the AAP and SAD-BJP combine did not much waste time announcing their candidates, delay in ticket distribution in the Congress meant that most, including Singh, were camping in Delhi while other parties were out in the field campaigning.
Although Singh says they got enough time to meet the voters, many within his own party feel they could have put up a better show.
While the BJP is intensifying its Congress-mukt Bharat campaign, the grand old party needs to do some real soul searching. The Congress has already been wiped out of most parts of north India (barring Himachal Pradesh) and its presence is now limited to Karnataka, Meghalaya and Mizoram.
Uttarakhand and Manipur (where the Congress is in power) are also going to polls shortly along with Uttar Pradesh where the party is fighting the polls in alliance with the Samajwadi Party.
Amarinder Singh is contesting from Lambi against incumbent CM Parkash Singh Badal, but has also kept Patiala as a safe seat. The party also saw the induction of cricketer-turned-politician and former BJP MP Navjot Sidhu a little more than two weeks ago.
Aam Aadmi Party
For AAP, Punjab is potentially their best bet after Delhi to build a national profile. If it manages to do what it did in the national capital, AAP will emerge as a serious player in national politics. While in Delhi, where the AAP government has had frequent run-ins with the BJP-led Centre, in Punjab it will be in “full control”.
The AAP has already built its image as a party for the angry young men of Punjab. Even though the party may have lost some opportunities by slamming the door on Sidhu (there were rumours that the cricketer wanted AAP to spell out its CM candidate before a possible tie-up), it is challenging the likes of Parkash Singh Badal, deputy CM Sukhbir Badal and Amarinder Singh.
While Bhagwant Mann is its most (and only) popular face in Punjab, that the party has managed to become a formidable challenge is visible from the fact that both the Congress and SAD never miss to attack AAP in their rallies. That itself has been a big morale boost for AAP.
Also, the AAP started its campaign in Punjab way before other parties woke up. The Delhi CM, Arvind Kejriwal, spent more time in Punjab (than Delhi).
Sensing people’s frustration, Kejriwal has been raising issues of corruption and drugs very vocally. While support for the AAP is more visible on social media, the party is also backed by NRIs.
The AAP has mostly concentrated on the Malwa region with 69 seats, which could be a game changer in a 117-seat contest. While Majha has 25 seats, Doaba has 23. But it is Malwa which holds the key. Unlike the other parties, AAP has given its tickets mostly to political newbies.
What has so far worked in favour of the AAP is that it had announced candidates for key constituencies much before the other parties, giving each of their candidates enough time to campaign.
Shiromani Akali Dal
The Badals are up for a huge, huge challenge facing anti-incumbency of 10 years. Unlike in other states where party patriarchs have passed the baton to their sons, 90-year-old Parkash Singh Badal is very much in the game. While the Badals are fighting the elections on the development poll plank – building roads, airports and even renovation of the holy city of Amritsar – they are also facing serious attacks over alleged embezzlement, drug menace and unemployment.
Both the Congress and AAP has fiercely attacked the Badals over drug menace and have even accused revenue minister Bikram Singh Majithia (brother of Badal family daughter-in-law Harsimrat Kaur Badal) of being the alleged kingpin of drug racket in Punjab. Kejriwal has promised to send Majithia to jail by April 15, if AAP comes to power.
The Badals have so far defended themselves by claiming that the allegations are nothing but a “bogey created by the opposition parties to defame them.”
There has been a serious concern over the law and order situation in the state as well even as people are angry over the various incidents of desecration of the Guru Granth Sahib.
Now Astrological Points To Be Considered
Total seats are 117 and to claim the majority a party has to win 59 seats. Now in this article we will see who is going to grab the seat of power. While analysing we will use the horoscopes of Punjab State, BJP, Congress and AAP foundation day charts. The analysis will be done from both vedic as well as western method of secondary progressions.
First logically, we should ascertain whether the existing government will be defeated. For this we have to read the chart of Punjab state and ascertain whether the existing government will lose. If there are signs of change of government by way of malefic aspects to 10th house only then analysis of individual political parties will be done to see who will be taking seat of power in the next elections. In all the western secondary progressed charts the reference date is of February 1, 2017.
The lagna rising is 18 Cancer 38. The lagna has exalted Jupiter at 10 Cancer 24. The dasa that just started is of Saturn from October 2016. It is a period of chidra dasa (change of dasa). Jupiter dasa which is exalted ends and dasa of Saturn lord of 7 and 8 begins. Saturn is retrograde. New dasa sows new beginnings. Saturn is in “Pushkaramsa” a benefic degree. Saturn has the aspect of Mars a yoga karaka for Cancer lagna and also from exalted Jupiter. Saturn is also a “Saha yogi” a planet that will do good. Saturn is in the star of exalted Jupiter. From the Moon, Saturn is in the 11th house aspected by Mars lord of 12th house.
In the Navamsa, Saturn is in the 8th house in Cancer, Sagittarius being the rising sign. To support the dasa, transit should also be conducive. On January 27, 2017 Saturn will transit 8th house from Moon signifying “Ashtam Shani”. In the Ashtakvarga, SAV has 31 points and BAV has 3 points. From January 27, 2017 Saturn will transit “Kakshya” of Saturn. In PAV of Saturn, Asc, Mars and Jupiter has given the 3 points in BAV. Since, it is transiting in kaskshya of Saturn it will not give benefic effects. Hence, the change of existing government is for certain.
There is the Intense Triangular Fight in Punjab. Shiromani Akali Dal. Congress Party. Aam Aadmi Party.
The SAD-BJP Coalition is in Government
PUNJAB VOTERS REJECTED NARCOTICS TAINTED AKALI GOV.
PUNJAB YOUTH, WOMEN & DALITS VOTED 100% FOR AAP.
The Punjab Youth have rejected both the Shiromani Akali Dal and the Congress Party.
The Punjab Youth perceives both the Shiromani Akali Dal and the Congress Party as the Opposite Faces of the same Corrupt Political Coin.
Akali Dal has got tainted with all the opponents accusing the Akali Dal of perpetuating the availability of Narcotics imported from Pakistan, destroying the Lives of the Youth.
Bikramjit Singh Majithia the Akali Dal Minister and the brother-in-law of the Deputy Chief Minister Sukhbir Singh Badal is perceived as the Villain King of the Narcotics Trade in Punjab.
The Akali Dal has Lost a lot of support among the Sikhs who are Anti-Congress Party.
The Akali Dal will surely Collapse to the Lowest Tally in the Punjab Assembly.
The Akali Dal will FAIL to win the Majority.
The Akali Dal will FAIL to emerge as the Single Largest Party.
The Badals led Akali Dal will LOSE the Government, in Punjab.
2 Conditions Now in Punjaab
Aam Aadmi Party is leading the Pack in the Race to win the Majority and the Government in Punjab.
The AAP is perceived by the voters as the Genuine Clean-Credible-Competent Alternative to the Corrupt Akali Dal and the Corrupt Congress Party.
The Voters believe that the Narcotics will disappear from the Punjab Society, ONLY if the AAP captures the Government.
The AAP is winning the votes of all sections of the Voters: Jat Sikhs. Non-Jat Sikhs. Dalits. OBCs. Khatris. Baniyas.
The AAP is winning most of the Seats in the Malwa Region and the Majha Region.
The AAP is likely to win the Majority and Capture the Government in Punjab.
President’s Rule will be imposed in Punjab, If No Party wins the Majority in the Assembly and does Not get the support of One of the Other Two Partys.
Punjab will have Fresh Assembly Elections in September 2017, IF NO Party is able to Cobble a Majority to run the Government.